Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 North
Australia · NBL1 North - Semi-finals
Gold Coast RollersHOME · -
108 : 952023.07.28 · 종료
South West Metro PiratesAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME81.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY18.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
93/100
AI PICK
HOME 84.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+81.4%
VALUE EDGE+81.4%
FAIR ODDS1.23
GRADEA
Gold Coast RollersAnalysis MetricsSouth West Metro Pirates
83.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
66.7%
+10.83
Point MarginHigher is better
+0.83
192.00
Pace ProxyComparison metric
183.00
77.8%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
20.0%
6.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
6.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
71/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement11.2 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Gold Coast Rollers
W · 99-96W · 90-88W · 80-110W · 115-88W · 114-94
South West Metro Pirates
W · 94-72L · 103-77W · 89-82L · 105-92W · 99-87
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.07.28 | Gold Coast Rollers | 108 : 95 | South West Metro Pirates |
| 2023.05.13 | Gold Coast Rollers | 102 : 99 | South West Metro Pirates |
| 2022.05.21 | South West Metro Pirates | 84 : 96 | Gold Coast Rollers |
| 2021.07.24 | South West Metro Pirates | 84 : 114 | Gold Coast Rollers |
| 2021.07.10 | Gold Coast Rollers | 97 : 91 | South West Metro Pirates |