Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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NBL1 North Australia · NBL1 North - Quarter-finals

South West Metro PiratesHOME · -

94 : 722023.07.22 · 종료

Mackay MeteorsAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME44.2%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY55.8%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100

AI PICK AWAY 53.0% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +55.8%

VALUE EDGE+55.8%

FAIR ODDS1.79

GRADEA

South West Metro PiratesAnalysis MetricsMackay Meteors

58.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 66.7%

-2.08 Point MarginHigher is better +8.17

186.08 Pace ProxyComparison metric 172.17

100.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 40.0%

7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

69/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.5 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement14.0 / 15

Prediction separation5.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

44.2%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

55.8%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

South West Metro Pirates

L · 103-77W · 89-82L · 105-92W · 99-87W · 78-91

Mackay Meteors

W · 102-84W · 89-77L · 87-78W · 77-97L · 69-68

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2023.07.22	South West Metro Pirates	94 : 72	Mackay Meteors
2023.04.29	Mackay Meteors	87 : 97	South West Metro Pirates
2022.06.12	South West Metro Pirates	48 : 82	Mackay Meteors
2021.06.19	Mackay Meteors	103 : 92	South West Metro Pirates