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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NBL1 North Australia
Cairns MarlinsHOME · -
123 : 1022023.07.15 · 종료
USC Rip CityAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME58.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY41.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM67 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100
AI PICK HOME 53.0% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +58.1%
VALUE EDGE+58.1%
FAIR ODDS1.72
GRADEB
Cairns MarlinsAnalysis MetricsUSC Rip City
58.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%
-4.08 Point MarginHigher is better +3.25
180.92 Pace ProxyComparison metric 190.58
66.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 28.6%
8.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

67/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement9.2 / 15
Prediction separation6.9 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
58.1%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
41.9%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Cairns Marlins
L · 86-88W · 91-90W · 110-93W · 98-111L · 108-68
USC Rip City
W · 87-112W · 103-77W · 87-78L · 100-98W · 101-81

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.07.15Cairns Marlins123 : 102USC Rip City
2022.08.20USC Rip City90 : 63Cairns Marlins
2022.07.02USC Rip City85 : 93Cairns Marlins
2021.06.19Cairns Marlins81 : 82USC Rip City