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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NBL1 North Australia
Mackay MeteorsHOME · -
102 : 842023.07.15 · 종료
Red City RoarAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME82.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY17.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 87/100
AI PICK HOME 84.0% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +82.4%
VALUE EDGE+82.4%
FAIR ODDS1.21
GRADEA
Mackay MeteorsAnalysis MetricsRed City Roar
58.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 0.0%
+4.83 Point MarginHigher is better -18.00
170.50 Pace ProxyComparison metric 179.83
83.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%
8.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

74/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.4 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
82.4%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
17.6%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Mackay Meteors
W · 89-77L · 87-78W · 77-97L · 69-68W · 83-94
Red City Roar
L · 103-86L · 80-110L · 93-117L · 81-84L · 79-93

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.07.15Mackay Meteors102 : 84Red City Roar
2022.06.11Red City Roar91 : 98Mackay Meteors