Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 North
Australia
Townsville HeatHOME · -
87 : 1122023.07.14 · 종료
USC Rip CityAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME47.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY52.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
89/100
AI PICK
AWAY 52.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+52.8%
VALUE EDGE+52.8%
FAIR ODDS1.89
GRADEA
Townsville HeatAnalysis MetricsUSC Rip City
16.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
-6.42
Point MarginHigher is better
-0.58
182.25
Pace ProxyComparison metric
192.75
33.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
14.3%
6.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
6.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
71/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.2 / 15
Prediction separation2.4 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Townsville Heat
W · 104-86W · 101-69L · 110-93L · 83-94L · 100-113
USC Rip City
W · 103-77W · 87-78L · 100-98W · 101-81W · 84-100
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.07.14 | Townsville Heat | 87 : 112 | USC Rip City |
| 2022.07.31 | USC Rip City | 92 : 71 | Townsville Heat |
| 2021.06.18 | Townsville Heat | 75 : 53 | USC Rip City |