Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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NBL1 North Australia

Townsville HeatHOME · -

104 : 862023.07.08 · 종료

Northside WizardsAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME52.8%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY47.2%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 87/100

AI PICK HOME 52.5% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +52.8%

VALUE EDGE+52.8%

FAIR ODDS1.89

GRADEA

Townsville HeatAnalysis MetricsNorthside Wizards

8.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%

-10.00 Point MarginHigher is better -1.58

183.00 Pace ProxyComparison metric 176.75

16.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 20.0%

8.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 0.9일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

69/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage17.7 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement7.8 / 15

Prediction separation2.4 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

52.8%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

47.2%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Townsville Heat

W · 101-69L · 110-93L · 83-94L · 100-113L · 102-84

Northside Wizards

W · 86-88L · 85-90L · 94-92L · 99-87W · 103-97

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2023.07.08	Townsville Heat	104 : 86	Northside Wizards
2022.07.03	Northside Wizards	80 : 84	Townsville Heat