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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NBL1 North Australia
Cairns MarlinsHOME · -
86 : 882023.07.07 · 종료
Northside WizardsAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME65.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY34.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 87/100
AI PICK HOME 67.9% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +65.6%
VALUE EDGE+65.6%
FAIR ODDS1.52
GRADEA
Cairns MarlinsAnalysis MetricsNorthside Wizards
66.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%
-2.17 Point MarginHigher is better -3.25
185.17 Pace ProxyComparison metric 178.08
83.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%
6.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 5.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

73/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.8 / 15
Prediction separation13.4 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
65.6%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
34.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Cairns Marlins
W · 91-90W · 110-93W · 98-111L · 108-68W · 79-93
Northside Wizards
L · 85-90L · 94-92L · 99-87W · 103-97L · 86-85

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.07.07Cairns Marlins86 : 88Northside Wizards
2022.07.23Northside Wizards90 : 92Cairns Marlins