Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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NBL1 North Australia

Southern DistrictHOME · -

101 : 942023.07.07 · 종료

Brisbane CapitalsAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME49.8%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY50.2%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100

AI PICK AWAY 52.5% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +50.2%

VALUE EDGE+50.2%

FAIR ODDS1.99

GRADEA

Southern DistrictAnalysis MetricsBrisbane Capitals

66.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 58.3%

+2.00 Point MarginHigher is better +3.17

177.17 Pace ProxyComparison metric 187.33

60.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 20.0%

5.2일 Rest daysComparison metric 12.3일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

69/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.9 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement10.1 / 15

Prediction separation0.2 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

49.8%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

50.2%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Southern District

W · 85-90W · 82-104W · 92-84W · 89-80L · 83-99

Brisbane Capitals

W · 100-98L · 114-94W · 100-94W · 110-73W · 92-100

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2023.07.07	Southern District	101 : 94	Brisbane Capitals
2023.05.14	Brisbane Capitals	90 : 96	Southern District
2022.06.18	Brisbane Capitals	102 : 77	Southern District
2022.06.05	Southern District	86 : 110	Brisbane Capitals
2021.05.22	Brisbane Capitals	86 : 70	Southern District