Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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NBL1 North Australia

Logan ThunderHOME · -

97 : 752023.07.02 · 종료

Darwin SaltiesAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME76.2%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY23.8%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 89/100

AI PICK HOME 77.7% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +76.2%

VALUE EDGE+76.2%

FAIR ODDS1.31

GRADEA

Logan ThunderAnalysis MetricsDarwin Salties

66.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%

+9.92 Point MarginHigher is better +0.42

173.58 Pace ProxyComparison metric 191.25

66.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 12.5%

7.8일 Rest daysComparison metric 0.8일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

70/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.1 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement12.0 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

76.2%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

23.8%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Logan Thunder

L · 79-93W · 108-68W · 83-96W · 97-108W · 80-104

Darwin Salties

L · 106-105W · 93-117W · 94-92L · 98-82L · 102-96

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2023.07.22	Logan Thunder	81 : 66	Darwin Salties
2023.07.02	Logan Thunder	97 : 75	Darwin Salties
2022.05.14	Darwin Salties	97 : 93	Logan Thunder