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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NBL1 North Australia
Ipswich ForceHOME · -
106 : 1052023.07.01 · 종료
Darwin SaltiesAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME62.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY37.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 87/100
AI PICK HOME 57.8% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +62.3%
VALUE EDGE+62.3%
FAIR ODDS1.60
GRADEA
Ipswich ForceAnalysis MetricsDarwin Salties
58.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%
+2.42 Point MarginHigher is better -1.33
193.08 Pace ProxyComparison metric 188.00
33.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 12.5%
6.2일 Rest daysComparison metric 0.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

68/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.3 / 15
Prediction separation10.6 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
62.3%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
37.7%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Ipswich Force
W · 79-93L · 98-111W · 85-100W · 83-99L · 80-104
Darwin Salties
W · 93-117W · 94-92L · 98-82L · 102-96L · 110-93

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.07.01Ipswich Force106 : 105Darwin Salties
2022.07.09Darwin Salties90 : 95Ipswich Force