Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 North
Australia
Sunshine Coast PhoenixHOME · -
105 : 922023.06.24 · 종료
South West Metro PiratesAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME57.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY42.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM65 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
85/100
AI PICK
HOME 53.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+57.6%
VALUE EDGE+57.6%
FAIR ODDS1.74
GRADEB
Sunshine Coast PhoenixAnalysis MetricsSouth West Metro Pirates
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
66.7%
-1.25
Point MarginHigher is better
+0.83
182.25
Pace ProxyComparison metric
183.50
33.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
20.0%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
65/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement8.9 / 15
Prediction separation6.5 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.5 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Sunshine Coast Phoenix
L · 84-100L · 86-82W · 100-113L · 92-100W · 86-93
South West Metro Pirates
W · 99-87W · 78-91W · 102-96L · 123-75W · 106-83
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.06.24 | Sunshine Coast Phoenix | 105 : 92 | South West Metro Pirates |