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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NBL1 North Australia
Logan ThunderHOME · -
108 : 682023.06.17 · 종료
Cairns MarlinsAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME82.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY18.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM66 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 89/100
AI PICK HOME 84.0% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +82.0%
VALUE EDGE+82.0%
FAIR ODDS1.22
GRADEB
Logan ThunderAnalysis MetricsCairns Marlins
66.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 66.7%
+8.42 Point MarginHigher is better +1.00
173.25 Pace ProxyComparison metric 185.00
66.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 60.0%
14.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

66/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement9.8 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
82.0%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
18.0%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Logan Thunder
W · 83-96W · 97-108W · 80-104W · 72-91W · 98-79
Cairns Marlins
W · 79-93W · 86-82W · 79-82L · 107-76W · 96-89

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.06.17Logan Thunder108 : 68Cairns Marlins
2022.06.10Cairns Marlins81 : 84Logan Thunder
2021.09.04Logan Thunder67 : 96Cairns Marlins