Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 North
Australia
Townsville HeatHOME · -
83 : 942023.06.17 · 종료
Mackay MeteorsAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME27.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY72.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
93/100
AI PICK
AWAY 73.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+72.5%
VALUE EDGE+72.5%
FAIR ODDS1.38
GRADEA
Townsville HeatAnalysis MetricsMackay Meteors
16.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
58.3%
-7.58
Point MarginHigher is better
+5.42
184.08
Pace ProxyComparison metric
171.25
33.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
20.0%
8.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
72/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.9 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Townsville Heat
L · 100-113L · 102-84L · 81-71L · 90-86L · 106-93
Mackay Meteors
L · 83-96W · 107-76W · 92-86L · 102-88L · 96-89
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.06.17 | Townsville Heat | 83 : 94 | Mackay Meteors |
| 2023.03.31 | Mackay Meteors | 82 : 64 | Townsville Heat |
| 2022.07.23 | Townsville Heat | 74 : 99 | Mackay Meteors |
| 2022.06.17 | Mackay Meteors | 82 : 74 | Townsville Heat |
| 2021.05.14 | Townsville Heat | 87 : 84 | Mackay Meteors |