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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NBL1 North Australia
Red City RoarHOME · -
79 : 932023.06.16 · 종료
Cairns MarlinsAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME36.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY63.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 87/100
AI PICK AWAY 57.8% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +63.3%
VALUE EDGE+63.3%
FAIR ODDS1.58
GRADEA
Red City RoarAnalysis MetricsCairns Marlins
0.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 58.3%
-18.33 Point MarginHigher is better -3.50
181.00 Pace ProxyComparison metric 185.33
0.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 40.0%
5.2일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

72/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement11.6 / 15
Prediction separation11.4 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
36.7%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
63.3%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Red City Roar
L · 78-91L · 110-73L · 99-97L · 86-60L · 77-113
Cairns Marlins
W · 86-82W · 79-82L · 107-76W · 96-89L · 70-98

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.06.16Red City Roar79 : 93Cairns Marlins
2022.07.15Cairns Marlins109 : 81Red City Roar