Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 North
Australia
South West Metro PiratesHOME · -
102 : 962023.06.10 · 종료
Darwin SaltiesAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME42.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY57.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM67 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
87/100
AI PICK
AWAY 53.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+57.6%
VALUE EDGE+57.6%
FAIR ODDS1.74
GRADEB
South West Metro PiratesAnalysis MetricsDarwin Salties
58.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
-0.75
Point MarginHigher is better
-0.92
183.42
Pace ProxyComparison metric
189.08
100.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
12.5%
8.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
67/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement8.3 / 15
Prediction separation6.5 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
South West Metro Pirates
L · 123-75W · 106-83W · 81-71L · 102-99W · 98-91
Darwin Salties
L · 110-93W · 102-84W · 113-101L · 99-89L · 92-86
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.06.10 | South West Metro Pirates | 102 : 96 | Darwin Salties |
| 2022.05.28 | Darwin Salties | 99 : 83 | South West Metro Pirates |