Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 North
Australia
Townsville HeatHOME · -
100 : 1132023.06.09 · 종료
Sunshine Coast PhoenixAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME37.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY62.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
85/100
AI PICK
AWAY 57.8%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+62.7%
VALUE EDGE+62.7%
FAIR ODDS1.59
GRADEA
Townsville HeatAnalysis MetricsSunshine Coast Phoenix
16.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
-7.42
Point MarginHigher is better
-1.25
181.08
Pace ProxyComparison metric
180.92
33.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
60.0%
6.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
6.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
70/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.5 / 15
Prediction separation10.9 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.5 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Townsville Heat
L · 102-84L · 81-71L · 90-86L · 106-93L · 84-92
Sunshine Coast Phoenix
L · 92-100W · 86-93L · 72-91W · 91-68L · 84-80
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.06.09 | Townsville Heat | 100 : 113 | Sunshine Coast Phoenix |