Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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NBL1 North Australia

Darwin SaltiesHOME · -

102 : 842023.06.03 · 종료

Townsville HeatAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME78.8%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY21.2%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100

AI PICK HOME 77.7% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +78.8%

VALUE EDGE+78.8%

FAIR ODDS1.27

GRADEA

Darwin SaltiesAnalysis MetricsTownsville Heat

33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 16.7%

-2.92 Point MarginHigher is better -7.00

190.08 Pace ProxyComparison metric 183.33

100.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%

7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 13.3일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

74/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.5 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement12.9 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

78.8%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

21.2%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Darwin Salties

W · 113-101L · 99-89L · 92-86W · 102-88W · 117-91

Townsville Heat

L · 81-71L · 90-86L · 106-93L · 84-92L · 86-91

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2023.06.03	Darwin Salties	102 : 84	Townsville Heat
2023.04.29	Townsville Heat	86 : 91	Darwin Salties
2022.05.20	Townsville Heat	88 : 96	Darwin Salties
2022.05.07	Darwin Salties	78 : 94	Townsville Heat