Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 North
Australia
Mackay MeteorsHOME · -
83 : 962023.06.03 · 종료
Logan ThunderAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME42.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY57.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM66 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
87/100
AI PICK
AWAY 53.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+57.8%
VALUE EDGE+57.8%
FAIR ODDS1.73
GRADEB
Mackay MeteorsAnalysis MetricsLogan Thunder
66.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
66.7%
+7.42
Point MarginHigher is better
+10.67
171.08
Pace ProxyComparison metric
173.00
100.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
60.0%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
66/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement9.1 / 15
Prediction separation6.7 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Mackay Meteors
W · 107-76W · 92-86L · 102-88L · 96-89L · 89-101
Logan Thunder
W · 97-108W · 80-104W · 72-91W · 98-79W · 100-74
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.06.03 | Mackay Meteors | 83 : 96 | Logan Thunder |
| 2021.07.17 | Mackay Meteors | 89 : 93 | Logan Thunder |