Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 North
Australia

Brisbane CapitalsHOME · -
123 : 752023.06.02 · 종료
South West Metro PiratesAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME65.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY34.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM65 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
89/100
AI PICK
HOME 67.9%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+65.1%
VALUE EDGE+65.1%
FAIR ODDS1.54
GRADEB
Brisbane CapitalsAnalysis MetricsSouth West Metro Pirates
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
66.7%
-1.42
Point MarginHigher is better
+3.75
187.08
Pace ProxyComparison metric
183.42
83.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
20.0%
6.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
6.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
65/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement8.2 / 15
Prediction separation13.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Brisbane Capitals
W · 102-82L · 98-79L · 90-96L · 117-91W · 84-80
South West Metro Pirates
W · 106-83W · 81-71L · 102-99W · 98-91W · 87-97
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.06.02 | Brisbane Capitals | 123 : 75 | South West Metro Pirates |
| 2022.07.16 | South West Metro Pirates | 83 : 107 | Brisbane Capitals |
| 2021.06.05 | Brisbane Capitals | 86 : 78 | South West Metro Pirates |