Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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NBL1 North Australia

Darwin SaltiesHOME · -

113 : 1012023.05.27 · 종료

USC Rip CityAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME65.2%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY34.8%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM65 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 89/100

AI PICK HOME 67.9% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +65.2%

VALUE EDGE+65.2%

FAIR ODDS1.53

GRADEB

Darwin SaltiesAnalysis MetricsUSC Rip City

33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%

-2.42 Point MarginHigher is better +2.50

187.75 Pace ProxyComparison metric 191.50

100.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 28.6%

7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

65/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.1 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement8.0 / 15

Prediction separation13.1 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

65.2%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

34.8%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Darwin Salties

L · 99-89L · 92-86W · 102-88W · 117-91W · 86-91

USC Rip City

L · 111-102L · 90-98L · 92-91W · 94-84W · 65-97

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2023.05.27	Darwin Salties	113 : 101	USC Rip City
2022.08.13	USC Rip City	89 : 86	Darwin Salties
2022.07.24	USC Rip City	89 : 84	Darwin Salties