Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 North
Australia
Mackay MeteorsHOME · -
107 : 762023.05.27 · 종료
Cairns MarlinsAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME61.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY38.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
97/100
AI PICK
HOME 57.8%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+61.7%
VALUE EDGE+61.7%
FAIR ODDS1.62
GRADEA
Mackay MeteorsAnalysis MetricsCairns Marlins
58.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
66.7%
+3.75
Point MarginHigher is better
+0.25
170.75
Pace ProxyComparison metric
184.42
83.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
60.0%
8.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
71/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.6 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.5 / 15
Prediction separation10.1 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Mackay Meteors
W · 92-86L · 102-88L · 96-89L · 89-101L · 87-97
Cairns Marlins
W · 96-89L · 70-98W · 90-73L · 75-74L · 98-90
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.05.27 | Mackay Meteors | 107 : 76 | Cairns Marlins |
| 2023.05.12 | Cairns Marlins | 96 : 89 | Mackay Meteors |
| 2022.07.29 | Cairns Marlins | 78 : 88 | Mackay Meteors |
| 2022.05.08 | Mackay Meteors | 88 : 81 | Cairns Marlins |
| 2021.09.10 | Mackay Meteors | 81 : 78 | Cairns Marlins |
| 2021.07.31 | Mackay Meteors | 98 : 79 | Cairns Marlins |
| 2021.05.15 | Cairns Marlins | 75 : 77 | Mackay Meteors |