Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 North
Australia
South West Metro PiratesHOME · -
106 : 832023.05.27 · 종료
Southern DistrictAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME36.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY63.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
89/100
AI PICK
AWAY 57.8%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+63.7%
VALUE EDGE+63.7%
FAIR ODDS1.57
GRADEA
South West Metro PiratesAnalysis MetricsSouthern District
58.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
75.0%
-2.17
Point MarginHigher is better
+4.50
184.17
Pace ProxyComparison metric
177.67
100.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
83.3%
6.3일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
70/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.5 / 15
Prediction separation11.7 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
South West Metro Pirates
W · 81-71L · 102-99W · 98-91W · 87-97W · 64-99
Southern District
W · 90-96W · 88-83W · 70-98W · 84-92L · 82-101
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.05.27 | South West Metro Pirates | 106 : 83 | Southern District |
| 2022.07.17 | Southern District | 102 : 71 | South West Metro Pirates |
| 2021.05.15 | South West Metro Pirates | 86 : 92 | Southern District |