Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 North
Australia
Logan ThunderHOME · -
98 : 792023.05.19 · 종료
Brisbane CapitalsAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME72.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY27.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
89/100
AI PICK
HOME 73.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+72.4%
VALUE EDGE+72.4%
FAIR ODDS1.38
GRADEA
Logan ThunderAnalysis MetricsBrisbane Capitals
66.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
58.3%
+10.17
Point MarginHigher is better
+4.17
173.17
Pace ProxyComparison metric
188.83
66.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
20.0%
6.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
5.3일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
68/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement11.9 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Logan Thunder
W · 100-74W · 90-98W · 79-92W · 111-87W · 98-70
Brisbane Capitals
L · 90-96L · 117-91W · 84-80L · 90-96L · 102-93
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.05.19 | Logan Thunder | 98 : 79 | Brisbane Capitals |
| 2022.06.03 | Brisbane Capitals | 88 : 93 | Logan Thunder |
| 2021.06.18 | Logan Thunder | 89 : 77 | Brisbane Capitals |