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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NBL1 North Australia
Gold Coast RollersHOME · -
106 : 932023.05.19 · 종료
Townsville HeatAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME81.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY19.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 89/100
AI PICK HOME 84.0% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +81.0%
VALUE EDGE+81.0%
FAIR ODDS1.23
GRADEA
Gold Coast RollersAnalysis MetricsTownsville Heat
83.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 16.7%
+9.75 Point MarginHigher is better -7.42
196.75 Pace ProxyComparison metric 182.25
77.8% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%
6.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

74/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.8 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
81.0%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
19.0%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Gold Coast Rollers
W · 102-99W · 87-111W · 89-101W · 82-101W · 97-82
Townsville Heat
L · 84-92L · 86-91L · 98-70L · 97-88L · 99-94

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.05.19Gold Coast Rollers106 : 93Townsville Heat
2022.06.04Townsville Heat84 : 103Gold Coast Rollers
2021.06.06Gold Coast Rollers75 : 81Townsville Heat