Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 North
Australia
Brisbane CapitalsHOME · -
90 : 962023.05.14 · 종료
Southern DistrictAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME64.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY35.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
93/100
AI PICK
HOME 57.8%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+64.9%
VALUE EDGE+64.9%
FAIR ODDS1.54
GRADEA
Brisbane CapitalsAnalysis MetricsSouthern District
58.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
66.7%
+3.08
Point MarginHigher is better
+2.08
188.08
Pace ProxyComparison metric
177.92
100.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
66.7%
7.7일
Rest daysComparison metric
0.7일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
70/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.9 / 15
Prediction separation12.7 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Brisbane Capitals
L · 117-91W · 84-80L · 90-96L · 102-93L · 91-86
Southern District
W · 88-83W · 70-98W · 84-92L · 82-101L · 90-100
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.07.07 | Southern District | 101 : 94 | Brisbane Capitals |
| 2023.05.14 | Brisbane Capitals | 90 : 96 | Southern District |
| 2022.06.18 | Brisbane Capitals | 102 : 77 | Southern District |
| 2022.06.05 | Southern District | 86 : 110 | Brisbane Capitals |
| 2021.05.22 | Brisbane Capitals | 86 : 70 | Southern District |