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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NBL1 North Australia
Sunshine Coast PhoenixHOME · -
91 : 682023.05.13 · 종료
Northside WizardsAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME53.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY46.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 87/100
AI PICK HOME 52.5% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +53.6%
VALUE EDGE+53.6%
FAIR ODDS1.86
GRADEA
Sunshine Coast PhoenixAnalysis MetricsNorthside Wizards
50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%
-2.08 Point MarginHigher is better -1.17
185.42 Pace ProxyComparison metric 179.33
33.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 20.0%
14.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

71/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.2 / 15
Prediction separation3.1 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
53.6%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
46.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Sunshine Coast Phoenix
L · 84-80W · 90-82L · 100-71L · 67-85W · 73-86
Northside Wizards
W · 93-84W · 92-91L · 78-93W · 85-87L · 83-68

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.05.27Northside Wizards86 : 93Sunshine Coast Phoenix
2023.05.13Sunshine Coast Phoenix91 : 68Northside Wizards