Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 North
Australia
Cairns MarlinsHOME · -
96 : 892023.05.12 · 종료
Mackay MeteorsAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME32.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY67.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
97/100
AI PICK
AWAY 67.9%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+67.7%
VALUE EDGE+67.7%
FAIR ODDS1.48
GRADEB
Cairns MarlinsAnalysis MetricsMackay Meteors
58.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
58.3%
-2.92
Point MarginHigher is better
+5.83
184.25
Pace ProxyComparison metric
171.17
66.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
33.3%
6.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
68/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.6 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement7.2 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Cairns Marlins
L · 70-98W · 90-73L · 75-74L · 98-90L · 97-82
Mackay Meteors
L · 89-101L · 87-97W · 90-100W · 78-93W · 90-96
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.05.27 | Mackay Meteors | 107 : 76 | Cairns Marlins |
| 2023.05.12 | Cairns Marlins | 96 : 89 | Mackay Meteors |
| 2022.07.29 | Cairns Marlins | 78 : 88 | Mackay Meteors |
| 2022.05.08 | Mackay Meteors | 88 : 81 | Cairns Marlins |
| 2021.09.10 | Mackay Meteors | 81 : 78 | Cairns Marlins |
| 2021.07.31 | Mackay Meteors | 98 : 79 | Cairns Marlins |
| 2021.05.15 | Cairns Marlins | 75 : 77 | Mackay Meteors |