Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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NBL1 North Australia

South West Metro PiratesHOME · -

98 : 912023.05.07 · 종료

Ipswich ForceAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME17.2%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY82.8%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM65 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100

AI PICK AWAY 84.0% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +82.8%

VALUE EDGE+82.8%

FAIR ODDS1.21

GRADEB

South West Metro PiratesAnalysis MetricsIpswich Force

58.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 58.3%

-0.83 Point MarginHigher is better +1.17

184.17 Pace ProxyComparison metric 195.50

100.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 62.5%

7.7일 Rest daysComparison metric 0.8일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

65/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.9 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement5.0 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

17.2%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

82.8%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

South West Metro Pirates

W · 87-97W · 64-99W · 75-74L · 91-89L · 75-77

Ipswich Force

W · 92-80W · 84-94W · 99-94W · 91-89W · 88-108

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2023.05.07	South West Metro Pirates	98 : 91	Ipswich Force
2023.04.16	Ipswich Force	91 : 89	South West Metro Pirates
2022.07.31	Ipswich Force	108 : 65	South West Metro Pirates
2022.05.07	South West Metro Pirates	105 : 92	Ipswich Force
2021.07.11	Ipswich Force	89 : 83	South West Metro Pirates