Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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NBL1 North Australia

Darwin SaltiesHOME · -

117 : 912023.05.06 · 종료

Brisbane CapitalsAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME57.4%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY42.6%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM65 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 87/100

AI PICK HOME 53.0% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +57.4%

VALUE EDGE+57.4%

FAIR ODDS1.74

GRADEB

Darwin SaltiesAnalysis MetricsBrisbane Capitals

41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 58.3%

-0.92 Point MarginHigher is better +4.75

190.75 Pace ProxyComparison metric 186.25

100.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 20.0%

7.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.1일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

65/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage17.7 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement9.5 / 15

Prediction separation6.3 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

57.4%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

42.6%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Darwin Salties

W · 86-91L · 90-73W · 115-95L · 87-90W · 102-89

Brisbane Capitals

W · 84-80L · 90-96L · 102-93L · 91-86L · 99-88

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2023.05.06	Darwin Salties	117 : 91	Brisbane Capitals
2022.06.26	Brisbane Capitals	100 : 77	Darwin Salties