Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 North
Australia
Cairns MarlinsHOME · -
70 : 982023.05.06 · 종료
Southern DistrictAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME76.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY23.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM67 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
89/100
AI PICK
HOME 77.7%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+76.7%
VALUE EDGE+76.7%
FAIR ODDS1.30
GRADEB
Cairns MarlinsAnalysis MetricsSouthern District
66.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
66.7%
+0.00
Point MarginHigher is better
+0.25
185.67
Pace ProxyComparison metric
179.42
83.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
66.7%
8.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
67/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement10.9 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Cairns Marlins
W · 90-73L · 75-74L · 98-90L · 97-82W · 91-86
Southern District
W · 84-92L · 82-101L · 90-100W · 67-85L · 85-87
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.05.06 | Cairns Marlins | 70 : 98 | Southern District |
| 2022.07.24 | Southern District | 90 : 85 | Cairns Marlins |
| 2021.06.11 | Cairns Marlins | 85 : 68 | Southern District |