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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NBL1 North Australia
Mackay MeteorsHOME · -
89 : 1012023.05.05 · 종료
Gold Coast RollersAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME44.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY55.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 89/100
AI PICK AWAY 53.0% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +55.2%
VALUE EDGE+55.2%
FAIR ODDS1.81
GRADEA
Mackay MeteorsAnalysis MetricsGold Coast Rollers
58.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 83.3%
+5.83 Point MarginHigher is better +9.75
171.17 Pace ProxyComparison metric 196.75
83.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 100.0%
6.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

69/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.6 / 15
Prediction separation4.5 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
44.8%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
55.2%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Mackay Meteors
L · 87-97W · 90-100W · 78-93W · 90-96W · 82-64
Gold Coast Rollers
W · 82-101W · 97-82W · 100-71L · 102-100L · 88-108

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.05.05Mackay Meteors89 : 101Gold Coast Rollers
2022.05.27Gold Coast Rollers86 : 82Mackay Meteors
2021.06.11Mackay Meteors101 : 89Gold Coast Rollers