Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

← Matches by Time

NBL1 North Australia

Townsville HeatHOME · -

84 : 922023.05.05 · 종료

Southern DistrictAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME61.8%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY38.2%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 89/100

AI PICK HOME 57.8% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +61.8%

VALUE EDGE+61.8%

FAIR ODDS1.62

GRADEA

Townsville HeatAnalysis MetricsSouthern District

16.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 66.7%

-7.83 Point MarginHigher is better +1.92

184.17 Pace ProxyComparison metric 178.75

33.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 66.7%

6.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

69/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.1 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement6.4 / 15

Prediction separation10.1 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

61.8%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

38.2%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Townsville Heat

L · 86-91L · 98-70L · 97-88L · 99-94W · 102-93

Southern District

L · 82-101L · 90-100W · 67-85L · 85-87L · 73-86

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2023.05.05	Townsville Heat	84 : 92	Southern District
2022.07.01	Southern District	85 : 110	Townsville Heat
2021.06.12	Townsville Heat	93 : 82	Southern District