Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

← Matches by Time

NBL1 North Australia

Mackay MeteorsHOME · -

87 : 972023.04.29 · 종료

South West Metro PiratesAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME84.1%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY15.9%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100

AI PICK HOME 84.0% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +84.1%

VALUE EDGE+84.1%

FAIR ODDS1.19

GRADEA

Mackay MeteorsAnalysis MetricsSouth West Metro Pirates

58.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 58.3%

+5.83 Point MarginHigher is better -0.83

171.17 Pace ProxyComparison metric 184.17

83.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 16.7%

6.2일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

70/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.5 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement10.9 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

84.1%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

15.9%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Mackay Meteors

W · 90-100W · 78-93W · 90-96W · 82-64W · 106-90

South West Metro Pirates

W · 64-99W · 75-74L · 91-89L · 75-77L · 85-91

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2023.07.22	South West Metro Pirates	94 : 72	Mackay Meteors
2023.04.29	Mackay Meteors	87 : 97	South West Metro Pirates
2022.06.12	South West Metro Pirates	48 : 82	Mackay Meteors
2021.06.19	Mackay Meteors	103 : 92	South West Metro Pirates