Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 North
Australia
Townsville HeatHOME · -
86 : 912023.04.29 · 종료
Darwin SaltiesAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME48.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY51.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
AWAY 52.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+51.7%
VALUE EDGE+51.7%
FAIR ODDS1.93
GRADEA
Townsville HeatAnalysis MetricsDarwin Salties
16.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
-8.08
Point MarginHigher is better
-0.92
184.08
Pace ProxyComparison metric
190.75
33.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
12.5%
6.2일
Rest daysComparison metric
0.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
71/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.5 / 15
Prediction separation1.5 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Townsville Heat
L · 98-70L · 97-88L · 99-94W · 102-93W · 102-103
Darwin Salties
L · 90-73W · 115-95L · 87-90W · 102-89L · 89-86
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.06.03 | Darwin Salties | 102 : 84 | Townsville Heat |
| 2023.04.29 | Townsville Heat | 86 : 91 | Darwin Salties |
| 2022.05.20 | Townsville Heat | 88 : 96 | Darwin Salties |
| 2022.05.07 | Darwin Salties | 78 : 94 | Townsville Heat |