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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NBL1 North Australia
Brisbane CapitalsHOME · -
84 : 802023.04.29 · 종료
Sunshine Coast PhoenixAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME53.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY46.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 87/100
AI PICK HOME 52.5% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +53.7%
VALUE EDGE+53.7%
FAIR ODDS1.86
GRADEA
Brisbane CapitalsAnalysis MetricsSunshine Coast Phoenix
50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%
+2.25 Point MarginHigher is better -2.08
189.92 Pace ProxyComparison metric 185.42
83.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 66.7%
8.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.3일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

71/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.3 / 15
Prediction separation3.2 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
53.7%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
46.3%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Brisbane Capitals
L · 90-96L · 102-93L · 91-86L · 99-88L · 77-101
Sunshine Coast Phoenix
W · 90-82L · 100-71L · 67-85W · 73-86W · 82-101

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.06.03Sunshine Coast Phoenix92 : 100Brisbane Capitals
2023.04.29Brisbane Capitals84 : 80Sunshine Coast Phoenix