Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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NBL1 North Australia

Rockhampton RocketsHOME · -

64 : 992023.04.28 · 종료

South West Metro PiratesAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME75.6%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY24.4%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM65 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 89/100

AI PICK HOME 77.7% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +75.6%

VALUE EDGE+75.6%

FAIR ODDS1.32

GRADEB

Rockhampton RocketsAnalysis MetricsSouth West Metro Pirates

33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 58.3%

-3.58 Point MarginHigher is better -0.83

178.92 Pace ProxyComparison metric 184.17

57.1% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 16.7%

5.3일 Rest daysComparison metric 5.3일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

65/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.1 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement6.0 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

75.6%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

24.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Rockhampton Rockets

L · 90-82L · 94-84L · 115-95L · 102-103L · 106-90

South West Metro Pirates

W · 75-74L · 91-89L · 75-77L · 85-91L · 95-77

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2023.04.28	Rockhampton Rockets	64 : 99	South West Metro Pirates
2022.07.01	South West Metro Pirates	70 : 102	Rockhampton Rockets
2021.06.18	Rockhampton Rockets	73 : 88	South West Metro Pirates