Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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NBL1 North Australia

Cairns MarlinsHOME · -

90 : 732023.04.28 · 종료

Darwin SaltiesAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME56.3%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY43.7%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100

AI PICK HOME 53.0% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +56.3%

VALUE EDGE+56.3%

FAIR ODDS1.78

GRADEA

Cairns MarlinsAnalysis MetricsDarwin Salties

66.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%

+0.00 Point MarginHigher is better -0.92

185.67 Pace ProxyComparison metric 190.75

83.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 12.5%

5.3일 Rest daysComparison metric 13.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

74/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.5 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement14.0 / 15

Prediction separation5.4 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

56.3%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

43.7%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Cairns Marlins

L · 75-74L · 98-90L · 97-82W · 91-86W · 87-90

Darwin Salties

W · 115-95L · 87-90W · 102-89L · 89-86W · 63-93

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2023.04.28	Cairns Marlins	90 : 73	Darwin Salties
2023.04.01	Darwin Salties	87 : 90	Cairns Marlins
2022.06.17	Darwin Salties	91 : 84	Cairns Marlins
2022.05.21	Cairns Marlins	108 : 99	Darwin Salties