Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

← Matches by Time

NBL1 North Australia

Logan ThunderHOME · -

111 : 872023.04.28 · 종료

Red City RoarAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME79.7%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY20.3%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100

AI PICK HOME 77.7% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +79.7%

VALUE EDGE+79.7%

FAIR ODDS1.25

GRADEA

Logan ThunderAnalysis MetricsRed City Roar

66.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 0.0%

+10.17 Point MarginHigher is better -18.75

173.17 Pace ProxyComparison metric 180.58

66.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%

5.2일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

75/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.5 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement13.7 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

79.7%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

20.3%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Logan Thunder

W · 98-70W · 102-100L · 90-84W · 95-77W · 74-86

Red City Roar

W · 97-88L · 65-97W · 85-91L · 79-73L · 74-86

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2023.04.28	Logan Thunder	111 : 87	Red City Roar
2022.08.07	Red City Roar	74 : 86	Logan Thunder
2021.06.12	Red City Roar	84 : 96	Logan Thunder
2021.05.15	Logan Thunder	107 : 89	Red City Roar