Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 North
Australia
Southern DistrictHOME · -
90 : 1002023.04.23 · 종료
Mackay MeteorsAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME23.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY76.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM65 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
89/100
AI PICK
AWAY 77.7%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+76.4%
VALUE EDGE+76.4%
FAIR ODDS1.31
GRADEB
Southern DistrictAnalysis MetricsMackay Meteors
75.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
58.3%
+4.17
Point MarginHigher is better
+5.83
178.17
Pace ProxyComparison metric
171.17
80.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
33.3%
7.8일
Rest daysComparison metric
0.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
65/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement5.8 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Southern District
W · 67-85L · 85-87L · 73-86L · 102-89W · 106-91
Mackay Meteors
W · 78-93W · 90-96W · 82-64W · 106-90L · 63-93
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.04.23 | Southern District | 90 : 100 | Mackay Meteors |
| 2022.07.08 | Mackay Meteors | 85 : 86 | Southern District |
| 2021.07.10 | Southern District | 80 : 99 | Mackay Meteors |