Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 North
Australia
Logan ThunderHOME · -
98 : 702023.04.23 · 종료
Townsville HeatAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME69.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY30.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
89/100
AI PICK
HOME 67.9%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+69.8%
VALUE EDGE+69.8%
FAIR ODDS1.43
GRADEA
Logan ThunderAnalysis MetricsTownsville Heat
66.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
16.7%
+10.17
Point MarginHigher is better
-6.17
173.17
Pace ProxyComparison metric
184.83
66.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
0.0%
7.8일
Rest daysComparison metric
0.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
74/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.7 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Logan Thunder
W · 102-100L · 90-84W · 95-77W · 74-86W · 125-91
Townsville Heat
L · 97-88L · 99-94W · 102-93W · 102-103L · 82-64
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.04.23 | Logan Thunder | 98 : 70 | Townsville Heat |
| 2022.06.11 | Townsville Heat | 80 : 89 | Logan Thunder |
| 2021.06.04 | Logan Thunder | 82 : 67 | Townsville Heat |