Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 North
Australia
South West Metro PiratesHOME · -
75 : 742023.04.23 · 종료
Cairns MarlinsAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME28.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY71.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM65 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
85/100
AI PICK
AWAY 73.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+71.6%
VALUE EDGE+71.6%
FAIR ODDS1.40
GRADEB
South West Metro PiratesAnalysis MetricsCairns Marlins
58.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
66.7%
-0.83
Point MarginHigher is better
+0.00
184.17
Pace ProxyComparison metric
185.67
100.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
50.0%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
0.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
65/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement11.4 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.5 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
South West Metro Pirates
L · 91-89L · 75-77L · 85-91L · 95-77L · 82-111
Cairns Marlins
L · 98-90L · 97-82W · 91-86W · 87-90L · 99-70
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.04.23 | South West Metro Pirates | 75 : 74 | Cairns Marlins |