Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 North
Australia
Red City RoarHOME · -
97 : 882023.04.22 · 종료
Townsville HeatAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME46.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY53.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
87/100
AI PICK
AWAY 52.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+53.9%
VALUE EDGE+53.9%
FAIR ODDS1.85
GRADEA
Red City RoarAnalysis MetricsTownsville Heat
0.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
16.7%
-18.75
Point MarginHigher is better
-6.17
180.58
Pace ProxyComparison metric
184.83
0.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
0.0%
7.1일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
72/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement11.9 / 15
Prediction separation3.4 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Red City Roar
L · 65-97W · 85-91L · 79-73L · 74-86L · 82-120
Townsville Heat
L · 99-94W · 102-93W · 102-103L · 82-64W · 99-70
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.04.22 | Red City Roar | 97 : 88 | Townsville Heat |
| 2022.07.16 | Townsville Heat | 109 : 76 | Red City Roar |