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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NBL1 North Australia
Northside WizardsHOME · -
78 : 932023.04.22 · 종료
Mackay MeteorsAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME39.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY60.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 89/100
AI PICK AWAY 57.8% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +60.3%
VALUE EDGE+60.3%
FAIR ODDS1.66
GRADEA
Northside WizardsAnalysis MetricsMackay Meteors
33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 58.3%
-3.83 Point MarginHigher is better +5.83
177.83 Pace ProxyComparison metric 171.17
50.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 33.3%
8.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

72/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.8 / 15
Prediction separation8.8 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
39.7%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
60.3%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Northside Wizards
W · 85-87L · 83-68W · 90-84L · 108-85W · 75-95
Mackay Meteors
W · 90-96W · 82-64W · 106-90L · 63-93W · 87-98

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.04.22Northside Wizards78 : 93Mackay Meteors
2022.07.16Mackay Meteors103 : 70Northside Wizards
2021.07.11Northside Wizards74 : 107Mackay Meteors