Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 North
Australia
Brisbane CapitalsHOME · -
90 : 962023.04.21 · 종료
Mackay MeteorsAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME22.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY77.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM66 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
AWAY 77.7%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+77.8%
VALUE EDGE+77.8%
FAIR ODDS1.29
GRADEB
Brisbane CapitalsAnalysis MetricsMackay Meteors
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
58.3%
+2.25
Point MarginHigher is better
+5.83
189.92
Pace ProxyComparison metric
171.17
83.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
33.3%
6.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
66/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement5.4 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Brisbane Capitals
L · 102-93L · 91-86L · 99-88L · 77-101L · 92-76
Mackay Meteors
W · 82-64W · 106-90L · 63-93W · 87-98W · 78-88
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.04.21 | Brisbane Capitals | 90 : 96 | Mackay Meteors |
| 2022.05.20 | Mackay Meteors | 69 : 66 | Brisbane Capitals |
| 2021.08.28 | Mackay Meteors | 93 : 83 | Brisbane Capitals |
| 2021.07.09 | Brisbane Capitals | 60 : 92 | Mackay Meteors |