Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 North
Australia
Ipswich ForceHOME · -
99 : 942023.04.21 · 종료
Townsville HeatAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME68.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY31.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
89/100
AI PICK
HOME 67.9%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+68.5%
VALUE EDGE+68.5%
FAIR ODDS1.46
GRADEA
Ipswich ForceAnalysis MetricsTownsville Heat
58.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
16.7%
+1.17
Point MarginHigher is better
-6.17
195.50
Pace ProxyComparison metric
184.83
50.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
0.0%
5.2일
Rest daysComparison metric
6.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
74/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.9 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Ipswich Force
W · 91-89W · 88-108W · 79-73W · 118-113W · 108-65
Townsville Heat
W · 102-93W · 102-103L · 82-64W · 99-70L · 116-68
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.04.21 | Ipswich Force | 99 : 94 | Townsville Heat |
| 2022.04.29 | Townsville Heat | 75 : 66 | Ipswich Force |
| 2021.06.05 | Ipswich Force | 73 : 92 | Townsville Heat |