Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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NBL1 North Australia

Ipswich ForceHOME · -

91 : 892023.04.16 · 종료

South West Metro PiratesAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME86.7%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY13.3%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100

AI PICK HOME 88.8% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +86.7%

VALUE EDGE+86.7%

FAIR ODDS1.15

GRADEA

Ipswich ForceAnalysis MetricsSouth West Metro Pirates

58.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 58.3%

+1.17 Point MarginHigher is better -0.83

195.50 Pace ProxyComparison metric 184.17

50.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 16.7%

14.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 0.8일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

69/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.9 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement9.8 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

86.7%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

13.3%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Ipswich Force

W · 88-108W · 79-73W · 118-113W · 108-65W · 72-87

South West Metro Pirates

L · 75-77L · 85-91L · 95-77L · 82-111L · 125-91

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2023.05.07	South West Metro Pirates	98 : 91	Ipswich Force
2023.04.16	Ipswich Force	91 : 89	South West Metro Pirates
2022.07.31	Ipswich Force	108 : 65	South West Metro Pirates
2022.05.07	South West Metro Pirates	105 : 92	Ipswich Force
2021.07.11	Ipswich Force	89 : 83	South West Metro Pirates