Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 North
Australia
Darwin SaltiesHOME · -
115 : 952023.04.15 · 종료
Rockhampton RocketsAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME60.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY39.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
HOME 57.7%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+60.1%
VALUE EDGE+60.1%
FAIR ODDS1.66
GRADEA
Darwin SaltiesAnalysis MetricsRockhampton Rockets
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
-0.92
Point MarginHigher is better
-3.58
190.75
Pace ProxyComparison metric
178.92
100.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
0.0%
14.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
74/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.5 / 15
Prediction separation8.7 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Darwin Salties
L · 87-90W · 102-89L · 89-86W · 63-93L · 99-96
Rockhampton Rockets
L · 102-103L · 106-90W · 99-96L · 95-86W · 91-104
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.05.20 | Rockhampton Rockets | 99 : 89 | Darwin Salties |
| 2023.04.15 | Darwin Salties | 115 : 95 | Rockhampton Rockets |
| 2022.08.05 | Rockhampton Rockets | 99 : 96 | Darwin Salties |
| 2022.07.02 | Darwin Salties | 99 : 86 | Rockhampton Rockets |