Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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NBL1 North Australia

Townsville HeatHOME · -

102 : 932023.04.15 · 종료

Brisbane CapitalsAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME42.2%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY57.8%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 87/100

AI PICK AWAY 53.3% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +57.8%

VALUE EDGE+57.8%

FAIR ODDS1.73

GRADEA

Townsville HeatAnalysis MetricsBrisbane Capitals

16.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%

-6.17 Point MarginHigher is better +2.25

184.83 Pace ProxyComparison metric 189.92

28.6% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 16.7%

14.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 0.9일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

72/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage17.7 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement14.2 / 15

Prediction separation6.7 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

42.2%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

57.8%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Townsville Heat

W · 102-103L · 82-64W · 99-70L · 116-68L · 92-71

Brisbane Capitals

L · 91-86L · 99-88L · 77-101L · 92-76L · 94-99

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2023.04.15	Townsville Heat	102 : 93	Brisbane Capitals
2022.07.02	Brisbane Capitals	93 : 86	Townsville Heat