Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 North
Australia
Cairns MarlinsHOME · -
91 : 862023.04.14 · 종료
Brisbane CapitalsAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME64.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY35.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
89/100
AI PICK
HOME 57.7%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+64.2%
VALUE EDGE+64.2%
FAIR ODDS1.56
GRADEA
Cairns MarlinsAnalysis MetricsBrisbane Capitals
66.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
+0.00
Point MarginHigher is better
+2.25
185.67
Pace ProxyComparison metric
189.92
83.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
16.7%
13.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
12.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
69/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.4 / 15
Prediction separation12.1 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Cairns Marlins
W · 87-90L · 99-70L · 90-63W · 116-68L · 78-88
Brisbane Capitals
L · 99-88L · 77-101L · 92-76L · 94-99W · 83-107
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.04.14 | Cairns Marlins | 91 : 86 | Brisbane Capitals |
| 2022.07.22 | Brisbane Capitals | 94 : 99 | Cairns Marlins |
| 2021.07.23 | Cairns Marlins | 97 : 82 | Brisbane Capitals |