Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 North
Australia
Darwin SaltiesHOME · -
87 : 902023.04.01 · 종료
Cairns MarlinsAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME60.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY39.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM67 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
HOME 57.7%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+60.1%
VALUE EDGE+60.1%
FAIR ODDS1.66
GRADEB
Darwin SaltiesAnalysis MetricsCairns Marlins
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
66.7%
-0.92
Point MarginHigher is better
+0.00
190.75
Pace ProxyComparison metric
185.67
100.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
50.0%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
6.3일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
67/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement8.6 / 15
Prediction separation8.7 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Darwin Salties
W · 102-89L · 89-86W · 63-93L · 99-96L · 87-98
Cairns Marlins
L · 99-70L · 90-63W · 116-68L · 78-88L · 90-85
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.04.28 | Cairns Marlins | 90 : 73 | Darwin Salties |
| 2023.04.01 | Darwin Salties | 87 : 90 | Cairns Marlins |
| 2022.06.17 | Darwin Salties | 91 : 84 | Cairns Marlins |
| 2022.05.21 | Cairns Marlins | 108 : 99 | Darwin Salties |